2016-10-25 08:00:04 CEST
2016-10-25 08:00:04 CEST
REGULATED INFORMATION
Fortum - Interim report (Q1 and Q3)
Fortum Interim Report January-September 2016: Low hydro production volumes affected seasonally weak quarter
FORTUM CORPORATION INTERIM REPORT JANUARY−SEPTEMBER 2016 25 OCTOBER 2016 AT
9:00 EEST
July−September 2016, continuing operations
- Comparable operating profit EUR 58 (79) million, -27%
- Operating profit EUR -6 (-682) million, of which EUR -65 (-761) million
relates to items affecting comparability. In the corresponding period of 2015,
the negative impact was mainly due to the decision on the early closing of two
nuclear units in Sweden
- Earnings per share EUR -0.03 (-0.74), of which EUR -0.06 (-0.78) related to
items affecting comparability. In the corresponding period of 2015, EUR -0.80
per share related to the decision on the early closure of two nuclear units in
Sweden
- Cash flow from operating activities totalled EUR 101 (151) million
- Fortum’s Ekokem acquisition was finalised
January−September 2016, continuing operations
- Comparable operating profit EUR 455 (565) million, -19%
- Operating profit EUR 430 (-188) million, of which EUR -25 (-752) million
relates to items affecting comparability. In the corresponding period of 2015,
the negative impact was mainly due to the decision on the early closing of two
nuclear units in Sweden
- Earnings per share EUR 0.40 (-0.28), of which EUR -0.03 (-0.77) related to
items affecting comparability. In the corresponding period of 2015, EUR -0.80
per share related to the decision on the early closure of two nuclear units in
Sweden
- Cash flow from operating activities totalled EUR 471 (896) million
- Fortum completed its multi-year investment programme in Russia
- Fortum's business structure was reorganised and the new Executive Management
Team took place as of 1 April 2016
- Fortum acquired Grupa DUON and Ekokem
Summary of outlook
- Fortum continues to expect the annual electricity demand to grow in the
Nordic countries by approximately 0.5% on average
- The Generation segment's Nordic generation hedges: approximately 80% hedged
at EUR 29 per MWh for the rest of 2016; and for 2017, approximately 50% hedged
at EUR 28 per MWh; and for 2018 approximately 30% hedged at EUR 25 per MWh.
- Operating profit level (EBIT) for the Russia segment, RUB 18.2 billion, is
targeted to be reached during 2017-2018. The euro-denominated result level will
be volatile, due to currency translation effects
Key financial ratios* 2015 LTM
-----------------------------------------
Return on capital employed, % 22.7 3.2
-----------------------------------------
Comparable net debt/EBITDA -1.7 -0.1
-----------------------------------------
Key figures III/16 III/15 I-III/ I-III/ 2015 LTM
16 15
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sales, EUR million 732 661 2,489 2,495 3,459 3,453
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comparable EBITDA, EUR million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
continuing operations 151 163 717 787 1,102 1,033
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
discontinued operations - - - 163 163 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
total Fortum 151 163 717 950 1,265 1,033
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comparable operating profit, EUR
million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
continuing operations 58 79 455 565 808 698
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
discontinued operations - - - 114 114 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
total Fortum 58 79 455 678 922 698
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Operating profit, EUR million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
continuing operations -6 -682 430 -188 -150 468
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
discontinued operations - - - 4,395 4,395 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
total Fortum -6 -682 430 4,207 4,245 468
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Share of profits of associates
and joint ventures, EUR million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
continuing operations 11 -95 116 -15 20 151
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
discontinued operations - - - 0 0 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
total Fortum 11 -95 116 -15 20 151
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Profit before taxes, EUR million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
continuing operations -40 -818 411 -325 -305 431
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
discontinued operations - - - 4,393 4,393 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
total Fortum -40 -818 411 4,068 4,088 431
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Earnings per share, EUR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
continuing operations -0.03 -0.74 0.40 -0.28 -0.26 0.41
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
discontinued operations - - - 4.92 4.92 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
total Fortum -0.03 -0.74 0.40 4.64 4.66 0.41
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net cash from operating 101 151 471 896 1,228 803
activities, EUR million,
continuing operations
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Shareholders’ equity per share, 14.75 15.54 15.53
EUR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Interest-bearing net debt (at end -137 -1,936 -2,195
of period), EUR million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fortum’s President and CEO Pekka Lundmark:
“The third quarter is always challenging due to the seasonality of our
business. This year was no exception. Fortum’s results continued to decline
mainly due to significantly lower hydro production volumes. The decline was
partially offset by strong performance in the Russia segment, a clearly higher
achieved power price and higher nuclear volumes compared to the third quarter
of 2015.
There are, however, some positive signs on the power market, mainly driven by
commodity and emission prices. Forward market prices increased at the very end
of the quarter and are now clearly higher than at the end of the second
quarter.
Another positive development was the Swedish government’s budget proposal in
September; it included the timetable for lowering the real-estate tax on hydro
assets and for phasing out the nuclear capacity tax over the coming years. We
are very pleased with the swift decision and the finalisation of the timetable,
which gives regulatory stability to operate the plants and plan the necessary
safety investments. This is completely in line with what we have been
advocating for; a regulation and taxation policy where the different forms of
CO2-free production are treated more equally.
As the investment programme in Russia was completed during the spring, OAO
Fortum’s new capacity has been the key driver for the earnings growth in the
Russia division.
During the quarter, Fortum finalised the acquisition of Ekokem, a leading
Nordic circular economy company. The deal marks a very important step in the
implementation of our strategy and gives us access to new revenue streams
independent on the Nordic power price.
We have continued reducing fixed costs according to earlier announced plan and
the progress has been good. Enabled by our strong net cash position, we will
carry on our efforts to grow and we are constantly looking for good investment
opportunities, as outlined in our strategy.“
Following the divestment of the Swedish distribution business, Fortum no longer
has electricity distribution operations. The Distribution segment was
reclassified as discontinued operations as of the first quarter of 2015.
The financial results discussed in this interim report are for the continuing
operations of Fortum Group.
Financial results
Sales by segment
EUR million III/16 III/15 I-III/16 I-III/15 2015 LTM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Generation 371 377 1,222 1,282 1,722 1,662
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
City Solutions 237 185 894 835 1,187 1,246
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Russia 175 154 606 627 893 872
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Other 29 28 91 86 114 119
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Netting of Nord Pool -66 -57 -255 -240 -336 -351
transactions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Eliminations -15 -26 -69 -95 -122 -96
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total continuing operations 732 661 2,489 2,495 3,459 3,453
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Discontinued operations - - - 274 274 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Eliminations - - - -31 -31 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Fortum 732 661 2,489 2,738 3,702 3,453
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comparable operating profit by segment
EUR million III/16 III/15 I-III/16 I-III/15 2015 LTM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Generation 77 102 330 419 561 472
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
City Solutions -16 -13 49 55 108 102
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Russia 12 0 125 132 201 194
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Other -15 -10 -49 -42 -63 -70
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Total continuing operations 58 79 455 565 808 698
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Discontinued operations - - - 114 114 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Fortum 58 79 455 678 922 698
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Operating profit by segment
EUR million III/16 III/15 I-III/16 I-III/15 2015 LTM
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Generation 18 -651 261 -332 -396 197
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
City Solutions -21 -22 60 51 105 114
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Russia 12 1 159 134 203 228
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Other -16 -9 -49 -41 -62 -70
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Total continuing operations -6 -682 430 -188 -150 468
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Discontinued operations - - - 4,395 4,395 -
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Fortum -6 -682 430 4,207 4,245 468
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July–September 2016
In the third quarter of 2016, sales increased to EUR 732 (661) million, mainly
due to the consolidation of DUON and Ekokem into Fortum Group. Comparable
operating profit totalled EUR 58 (79) million and reported operating profit
totalled EUR -6 (-682) million. Fortum's operating profit for the period was
impacted by items affecting comparability, including sales gains, Ekokem
transaction costs and IFRS accounting treatment (IAS 39) of derivatives mainly
used for hedging Fortum's power production, as well as nuclear fund adjustments
for continuing operations, amounting to EUR -65 (-761) million (Note 4 and 6).
The corresponding period of 2015, included an EUR -784 million impact from the
decision on the early closure of two nuclear units in Sweden (Note 4 and 6).
The share of profit from associates was EUR 11 (-95) million, of which Hafslund
represented EUR 10 (10), TGC-1 EUR 7 (6) and Fortum Värme EUR -4 (-8) million.
The share of profit from Hafslund and TGC-1 are based on the companies'
published second-quarter 2016 interim reports (Note 14). In the corresponding
period of 2015, the decision on the early closure of two nuclear units in
Sweden impacted the share of profit from associates by EUR -104 million (Note
6). In addition, for Fortum Värme the corresponding period in 2015 included the
paid compensation for refinancing the interest-bearing loans from Fortum (Note
14).
January–September 2016
In January-September 2016, sales was EUR 2,489 (2,495) million. Comparable
operating profit totalled EUR 455 (565) million and reported operating profit
totalled EUR 430 (-188) million. Fortum's operating profit for the period was
impacted by items affecting comparability, including sales gains, Ekokem
transaction costs and IFRS accounting treatment (IAS 39) of derivatives mainly
used for hedging Fortum's power production, as well as nuclear fund adjustments
for continuing operations, amounting to EUR -25 (-752) million (Note 4). The
corresponding period of 2015, included a EUR -784 million impact from the
decision on the early closure of two nuclear units in Sweden (Note 4 and 6).
The share of profit from associates was EUR 116 (-15) million, of which
Hafslund represented EUR 42 (31), TGC-1 EUR 34 (34) and Fortum Värme EUR 40
(23) million. The share of profit from Hafslund and TGC-1 are based on the
companies' published fourth-quarter 2015, and first- and second-quarter 2016
interim reports (Note 14). The corresponding period in 2015 was affected by the
decision on the early closure of two nuclear units in Sweden, which impacted
the share of profit from associates by EUR -104 million (Note 6). In addition,
for Fortum Värme the corresponding period in 2015 was lower mainly due to the
paid compensation for refinancing the interest-bearing loans from Fortum.
Net financial expenses were EUR -135 (-123) million and include changes in the
fair value of financial instruments of EUR 0 (-14) million. In the
corresponding period of 2015, net financial expenses included EUR 38 million
compensation from prepayment of loans by Fortum Värme (Note 14).
Profit before taxes was EUR 411 (-325) million. The corresponding period of
2015, was impacted by EUR -888 million due to the decision on the early closing
of the two nuclear units in Sweden.
Taxes for the period totalled EUR -54 (80) million. The effective income tax
rate according to the income statement was 13.1% (24.5%). The comparable
effective income tax rate, excluding the impact of the share of profit from
associated companies and joint ventures as well as non-taxable capital gains,
was 19.0% (25.6%) (Note 10).
The profit for the period for continuing operations was EUR 357 (-246) million.
Earnings per share for continuing operations were EUR 0.40 (-0.28), of which
EUR -0.03 (-0.77) per share relates to items affecting comparability. In the
corresponding period of 2015, the impact of the decision on the early closing
of two nuclear units in Sweden was EUR -0.80 per share.
Financial position and cash flow
Cash flow
In January-September 2016, net cash from operating activities from continuing
operations decreased by EUR 425 million to EUR 471 (896) million, mainly due to
lower Comparable EBITDA EUR 70 million, higher income taxes paid EUR 136
million, and lower realised foreign exchange gains and losses EUR 137 million.
In June, Fortum paid income taxes in Sweden totalling EUR 127 million regarding
tax disputes. The appeal process is ongoing and based on legal opinions no
provision is made, and the payment is booked as a receivable (Note 22).
Realised foreign exchange gains and losses of EUR 112 million relate to the
rollover of foreign exchange contract hedging loans to Fortum's Swedish and
Russian subsidiaries.
Capital expenditures increased by EUR 20 million to EUR 367 (347) million. Net
cash used in investing activities increased to EUR 1,439 (0) million, mainly
due to the acquisition of shares of EUR 667 (6) million. Acquisition of shares
relates mainly to acquisition of Ekokem and DUON. Increase in other
interest-bearing receivables, EUR 376 million, relates mainly to bank deposits,
given as trading collaterals to commodity exchanges. In 2015, the change of
shareholder loans to associated companies and joint venture, EUR 301 million,
includes repayments by Fortum Värme amounting to EUR 376 million.
Cash flow before financing activities is EUR -968 (6,303) million. In 2015, the
impact from discontinued operations was EUR 6,457 million.
Fortum paid dividends totalling EUR 977 (1,155) million in April 2016. Payments
of long-term and short-term liabilities totalled EUR 962 (919) million
including repayment of a EUR 750 million bond and Ekokem loans of EUR 115
million. The total net decrease in liquid funds was EUR 2,887 million (increase
5,318).
Assets and capital employed
Total assets decreased by EUR 1,429 million to EUR 21,338 (22,767 at year-end
2015) million.
Liquid funds at the end of September 2016 were EUR 5,322 (8,202 at year-end
2015) million.
Capital employed was EUR 18,362 (19,870 at year-end 2015) million, a decrease
of EUR 1,508 million.
Equity
Equity attributable to owners of the parent company totalled EUR 13,100 (13,794
at year-end 2015) million.
The decrease in equity attributable to owners of the parent company totalled
EUR 694 million and was mainly from dividends paid EUR 977 million and the net
profit for the period EUR 352 million.
Financing
Fortum was net cash positive at the end of the period. Net cash decreased by
EUR 2,058 million to EUR 137 (2,195 at year-end 2015) million.
At the end of September, the Group’s liquid funds totalled EUR 5,322 (8,202 at
year-end 2015) million. Liquid funds include cash and bank deposits held by OAO
Fortum amounting to EUR 110 (76 at year-end 2015) million. In addition to
liquid funds, Fortum had access to approximately EUR 2.0 billion of undrawn
committed credit facilities (Note 16).
Net financial expenses in January-September were EUR -135 (-123) million, of
which net interest expenses were EUR -132 (-156) million. Net financial
expenses include changes in the fair value of financial instruments of EUR 0
(-14) million and EUR 38 million compensation from prepayment of loans by
Fortum Värme for January-September 2015 .
In June 2016, Fortum signed a EUR 1,750 million syndicated Multicurrency
Revolving Facility Agreement. The committed facility will be used for general
corporate purposes and replaces the existing credit facility signed in July
2011. The facility has an initial maturity of five years and Fortum may request
two one-year extension options.
Fortum’s long-term credit ratings were unchanged. Standard & Poor's rating is
BBB+ and the short-term rating A-2. The outlook is stable. Fitch Ratings
long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) and senior unsecured rating is BBB+ and
the short-term IDR is F2 with a stable outlook.
Key figures
For the last twelve months comparable net debt to EBITDA was -0.1 (-1.7 at
year-end 2015).
Gearing was -1% (-16% at year-end 2015) and the equity-to-assets ratio 62% (61%
at year-end 2015). Equity per share was EUR 14.75 (15.53 at year-end 2015). For
the last twelve months return on capital employed totalled 3.2% (22.7% at
year-end 2015).
Market conditions
Nordic countries
According to preliminary statistics, electricity consumption in the Nordic
countries was 80 (81) terawatt-hours (TWh) during the third quarter of 2016. In
January-September 2016, electricity consumption increased by 5 TWh to 283 (278)
TWh, mainly due to colder weather during the winter.
At the beginning of 2016, the Nordic water reservoirs were at 98 TWh, which is
15 TWh above the long-term average and 18 TWh higher than a year earlier. By
the end of the third quarter 2016, reservoirs were 3 TWh below the long-term
average and 12 TWh lower than at the end of September 2015. Reservoir levels
have decreased due to below-normal precipitation during 2016.
In the third quarter of 2016, the average system spot price was EUR 25.2 (13.3)
per MWh. The average area price in Finland was EUR 31.6 (30.1) per MWh and in
Sweden SE3 (Stockholm) EUR 29.6 (15.5) per MWh. The system spot price increased
compared to the exceptionally low level in the third quarter of 2015, which was
caused by high inflows and late snow melt.
During January-September 2016, the average system spot price was EUR 24.4
(20.7) per MWh, with the area price in Finland at EUR 30.8 (29.3) per MWh and
in Sweden SE3 (Stockholm) at EUR 26.7 (21.7) per MWh.
In Germany, the average spot price during the third quarter of 2016 was EUR
28.3 (32.8) per MWh, and during January-September 2016 EUR 26.1 (31.1) per MWh.
The market price of CO2 emission allowances (EUA) was EUR 8.1 per tonne at the
beginning of the year. During the third quarter the price fluctuated between
EUR 4 and 5 per tonne and ended at EUR 4.9 per tonne at the end of September
2016.
Russia
Fortum operates both in the Tyumen and Khanty-Mansiysk area of Western Siberia,
where industrial production is dominated by the oil and gas industries, and in
the Chelyabinsk area of the Urals, which is dominated by the metal industry.
According to preliminary statistics, Russian electricity consumption was 231
(225) TWh during the third quarter of 2016. The corresponding figure in
Fortum’s operating area in the First price zone (European and Urals part of
Russia) was 179 (174) TWh. In January-September 2016, Russian electricity
consumption was 740 (731) TWh and the corresponding figure in Fortum’s
operating area in the First price zone was 567 (561) TWh.
In the third quarter of 2016, the average electricity spot price, excluding
capacity price, increased by approximately 10% to RUB (Russian rouble) 1,298
(1,184) per MWh in the First price zone. In January-September 2016, the average
electricity spot price, excluding capacity price, increased by approximately 5%
to RUB 1,204 (1,146) per MWh in the First price zone.
More detailed information about the market fundamentals is included in the
tables at the end of the report.
European business environment and carbon market
Swedish energy taxation
In June, a broad parliamentary agreement covering long-term energy policies was
presented by the government and parts of the opposition. One of the key
elements of the agreement was tax reductions for the energy sector. In
September, the Swedish government presented a budget proposal for the coming
years, including a timetable for the tax reductions. The proposal is subject to
the formal decision by the Parliament in spring 2017.
Ratification of the Paris Agreement
The ratification of the global climate agreement adopted in Paris in December
2015 has proceeded more quickly than anticipated and the Agreement will enter
into force already on 4 November 2016. The European Union finalised its
ratification on 5 October 2016. Currently, 77 parties representing over 60% of
global emissions have submitted their ratification.
Commission’s summer package
In July, the European Commission released proposals aiming to accelerate
Europe’s transition to a low-carbon economy. The key elements of the package
include binding greenhouse gas reduction targets for member states in the
non-ETS sectors (e.g. transport, buildings, agriculture and waste management)
in 2021-2030, inclusion of land use and forestry emissions in the 2030
legislative framework, and a European strategy for low emission mobility. The
latter relies heavily on electrification of the transport sector while
recognising the role of biofuels too. The summer package, together with the
2015 proposal for the amendment of the emissions trading directive, will
implement the EU target of a 40% emission reduction by 2030.
Finnish budget proposal 2017
The Finnish budget proposal for 2017 included key energy-related decisions on
the increase of fuel taxes, the so-called CHP tax compromise, and the decision
to assess how to bring wind power into the scope of the real-estate taxation
applicable to power plants. Currently, wind power is subject to a lower tax
rate. New tax treatment would be applicable from 2018 onwards. Also, the
earlier announced mechanism to offset the indirect costs of the EU Emissions
Trading System for energy-intensive industries was approved as part of the
budget proposals. The Parliament is set to adopt the related budget laws during
autumn 2016.
Outlook
Key drivers and risks
Fortum's financial results are exposed to a number of economic, strategic,
political, financial and operational risks. One of the key factors influencing
Fortum's business performance is the wholesale price of electricity in the
Nordic region. The key drivers behind the wholesale price development in the
Nordic region are the supply-demand balance, the prices of fuel and CO2
emissions allowances, and the hydrological situation.
The continued uncertainty in the global and European economies has kept the
outlook for economic growth unpredictable. The overall economic uncertainty
impacts commodity and CO2 emissions allowance prices, and this could maintain
downward pressure on the Nordic wholesale price of electricity. In Fortum's
Russian business, the key drivers are economic growth, the rouble exchange
rate, regulation around the heat business, and further development of
electricity and capacity markets. In all regions, fuel prices and power plant
availability also impact profitability. In addition, increased volatility in
exchange rates due to financial turbulence could have both translation and
transaction effects on Fortum's financials, especially through the Russian
rouble and Swedish krona. In the Nordic countries, the regulatory and fiscal
environment for the energy sector has also added risks for utility companies.
Nordic market
Despite macroeconomic uncertainty, electricity is expected to continue to gain
a higher share of total energy consumption. Electricity demand in the Nordic
countries is expected to grow by approximately 0.5% on average, while the
growth rate for the next few years will largely be determined by macroeconomic
developments in Europe, and especially in the Nordic countries.
During January-September 2016, oil and coal prices increased, while the price
of CO2 emission allowances (EUA) declined. The price of electricity for the
upcoming twelve months appreciated in the Nordic area as well as in Germany,
and both are now on higher levels than at the end of the third quarter of 2015.
In mid-October 2016, the quotation for coal (ICE Rotterdam) for the remainder
of 2016 was around USD 78 per tonne, and for CO2 emission allowances for 2016
around EUR 6 per tonne. The Nordic system electricity forward price in Nasdaq
Commodities for the rest of 2016 was around EUR 37 per MWh and for 2017 around
EUR 30 per MWh. In Germany, the electricity forward price for the rest of 2016
was around EUR 37 per MWh and for 2017 around EUR 32 per MWh. Nordic water
reservoirs were about 4 TWh below the long-term average and 14 TWh below the
corresponding level in 2015.
Generation
The Generation segment’s achieved Nordic power price typically depends on such
factors as the hedge ratios, hedge prices, spot prices, availability and
utilisation of Fortum's flexible production portfolio, and currency
fluctuations. Excluding the potential effects from changes in the power
generation mix, a 1 EUR/MWh change in the Generation segment’s Nordic power
sales achieved price will result in an approximately EUR 45 million change in
Fortum's annual comparable operating profit. In addition, the comparable
operating profit of the Generation segment will be affected by the possible
thermal power generation volumes and its profits.
In Finland, the technical plan and cost estimates for nuclear waste management
are updated every third year. The new technical plan was published in 2015 and
related cost estimates were updated during the second quarter of 2016. The
update had a minor positive impact on Fortum and is included in the result for
the second quarter of 2016.
As a result of the nuclear stress tests in the EU, the Swedish nuclear safety
authority (SSM) has decided to propose new regulations for Swedish nuclear
reactors. The process is ongoing. Fortum emphasises that maintaining a high
level of nuclear safety is the highest priority, but considers EU-level
harmonisation of nuclear safety requirements to be of continued importance.
In 2015, the Swedish Government increased the nuclear waste fund fee from
approximately 0.022 to approximately 0.04 SEK/kWh for the 2015-2017 period. The
estimated impact on Fortum is approximately EUR 25 million annually. The
process to review the Swedish nuclear waste fees is done in a three-year cycle.
The Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Management Co (SKB) will update the new
technical plan in January 2017 for SSM to review. The final decision on the new
nuclear waste fees will be made by the Swedish Government in December 2017.
However, as a result of the decision on early closure of nuclear power plants,
the Swedish Radiation Safety Authority, SSM, recalculated the waste fees for
the Oskarshamn and Ringhals power plants.
In Sweden, the key political parties (representing 75% of parliament) announced
a new framework agreement on energy policy in June 2016. It was decided that:
(1) the tax on nuclear thermal effect will be phased out over two years
starting in 2017, (2) the regulatory framework for the nuclear waste fund will
be reformed in order to enhance yield, (3) the lifetime in the waste fee
calculation would possibly be extended from 40 to 50 years, and (4) the
third-party liability for nuclear accidents will increase, ratifying a decision
made earlier. No date was mentioned for a mandatory nuclear phase out, but a
vision of a 100% RES power system by 2040 was stated.
In September the Swedish government presented the budget proposal for the
coming years, which included a timetable for the tax reductions in the energy
commission agreement. The budget states that the nuclear capacity tax will be
reduced to 1500 SEK/MW per month from 1 July 2017 and abolished on 1 January
2018. In 2016, the Swedish nuclear capacity tax for Fortum is estimated to be
approximately EUR 84 million. In 2017, the tax is estimated to decrease with
approximately EUR 32 million due to the tax decrease and another EUR 5 million
due to the premature closure of Oskarshamn 1 in the middle of the year. In
2018, there is no capacity tax.
A decision was also made to decrease the hydropower real-estate tax over a
four-year period beginning in 2017, from todays 2.8% to 0.5%. The real-estate
tax on hydro will, as stated in the government’s budget, be reduced in four
steps: in January 2017 to 2.2%; in January 2018 to 1.6%; in January 2019 to
1.0%; and in January 2020 to 0.5%. In 2016, the Swedish hydropower real-estate
tax is estimated to be approximately EUR 115 million. In 2017, the tax is
estimated to decrease with approximately EUR 20 million.
In addition to the decrease in the tax rate, the hydropower real-estate tax
values, which are linked to electricity prices, will be updated starting 2019.
The real-estate tax values are updated every six years. With the current low
electricity prices the tax values in 2019 will be clearly lower than today.
The process for renewing existing hydro permits will also be reformed,
primarily in order to safeguard small hydro.
The tax reductions are planned to be financed through a higher electricity
consumption tax that will mainly affect households. Electricity-intensive
industries will be exempt.
In October, the Swedish Energy Agency is expected to make a concrete proposal
on how to increase the production of renewable electricity by 18 TWh in
2020-2030.
The work for increased transmission capacity both within Sweden and to
neighbouring countries will continue, as will efforts to promote a
well-functioning retail market in the Nordic region.
All the above mentioned decisions are positive and a step in the right
direction, as all production forms are more evenly taxed. However, some
questions remain regarding deployment of green certificates for the 2020-2030
period. The decisions will not impact the nuclear closures that have already
been decided on in Sweden.
OKG AB decided in 2015 to permanently discontinue electricity production at
Oskarshamn unit 1 and to start decommissioning after the permission for service
operation has been granted by the relevant Swedish authorities. The first two
stages of the decommissioning process were approved in June 2016. The date for
discontinued production and the start of decommissioning has been set to 30
June 2017. Oskarshamn unit 2, which has been out of operation since June 2013
due to an extensive safety modernisation, will stay out of operation. The
closing processes are estimated to take several years.
City Solutions
In May, the Finnish Government decided to increase the tax on heating fuels by
EUR 90 million annually from 2017 onwards. The negative impact on Fortum is
estimated to be approximately EUR 5 million per year.
Russia
The Russia segment's new capacity generation built after 2007 under the Russian
Government's capacity supply agreement (CSA) is a key driver for earnings
growth in Russia, as it is expected to bring income from new volumes sold and
also to receive considerably higher capacity payments than the old capacity.
The regulation related to the time frame (10 vs.15 years) of the calculation of
capacity payments was finally approved in June 2016. The decision was made to
keep the current 10-year time frame, and Fortum will hence receive guaranteed
capacity payments for a period of 10 years from the commissioning of a plant.
The received CSA payment will vary depending on the age, location, size and
type of the plants, as well as on seasonality and availability. CSA payments
can vary somewhat annually because they are linked to Russian Government
long-term bonds with 8 to 10 years maturity. In addition, the regulator will
review the earnings from the electricity-only market three years and six years
after the commissioning of a unit and could revise the CSA payments
accordingly.
According to rules approved by the Russian Government in 2015, the competitive
capacity selection for generation built prior to 2008 (CCS, without capacity
supply agreements) takes place annually. At the end of 2015, the CCS for 2016
and the long-term CCS for 2017-2019 were held. In September of 2016, the
long-term CCS for 2020 was held. The majority of Fortum’s plants were selected.
The volume of Fortum’s installed "old" capacity not selected in the auction
totalled 195 MW (out of 2,214 MW), for which Fortum has obtained forced mode
status, i.e. it will receive payments for the capacity.
In 2014, the new heat market model roadmap proposed by the Ministry of Energy
was approved by the Russian Government. If implemented, the reform should
provide heat market liberalisation by 2020 or, in some specific areas, by 2023.
In May 2016, the draft law on the heat reform was submitted by the Russian
Government to the state Duma (Parliament). The law still requires the consent
of the regional and local authorities before starting the reform in certain
pilot regions. The Parliament hearings are expected in the fourth quarter of
2016.
The targeted operating profit (EBIT) level of RUB 18.2 billion in the Russia
segment is expected to be reached during 2017-2018. The segment’s profits are
impacted by changes in power demand, gas prices and other regulatory
developments. Economic sanctions, the currency crisis, oil prices and the surge
in inflation have impacted overall demand. As a result, gas prices and
electricity prices have not developed favourably as expected. Fortum estimates
the Russian annual average gas price growth to be 3.6% in 2016 which is lower
than the previous estimate of 4.9% because no indexation of gas tariffs is
expected during 2016.
The euro-denominated result level will be volatile due to the translation
effect. The income statements of non-euro subsidiaries are translated into the
Group reporting currency using average exchange rates. The Russia segment's
result is also impacted by seasonal volatility caused by the nature of the heat
business, with the first and last quarter being clearly the strongest.
In December 2014, Fortum, Gazprom Energoholding LLC and Rosatom State
Corporation signed a protocol to start a restructuring process of the ownership
of TGC-1 in Russia. The discussions have not yet come to a conclusion. It is
not possible to estimate the timetable.
Capital expenditure and divestments
Fortum currently expects its capital expenditure, excluding acquisitions, for
its continuing operations in 2016 to be approximately EUR 650 million. The
annual maintenance capital expenditure is estimated to be about EUR 300-350
million in 2016, below the level of depreciation.
Taxation
The effective corporate income tax rate for Fortum in 2016 is estimated to be
19-21%, excluding the impact of the share of profits of associated companies
and joint ventures, non-taxable capital gains and non-recurring items.
Hedging
At the end of September 2016, approximately 80% of Generation's estimated
Nordic power sales volume was hedged at EUR 29 per MWh for the remainder of
2016. The corresponding figures for the 2017 calendar year were approximately
50% at EUR 28 per MWh, and for the calendar year 2018 approximately 30% at EUR
25 per MWh.
The reported hedge ratios may vary significantly, depending on Fortum's actions
on the electricity derivatives markets. Hedges are mainly financial contracts,
most of them Nasdaq Commodities forwards.Espoo, 24. lokakuuta 2016
Espoo, 24 October 2016
Fortum Corporation
Board of Directors
Further information:
Pekka Lundmark, President and CEO, tel. +358 10 452 4112
Timo Karttinen, CFO, tel. +358 10 453 6555
Investor Relations & Financial Communications, Sophie Jolly, tel. +358 10 453
2552, Rauno Tiihonen, tel. +358 10 453 6150, Marja Mäkinen, tel. +358 10 452
3338, Måns Holmberg, tel. +358 10 452 1111, and investors@fortum.com
Media, Corporate Press Officer, Pauliina Vuosio, tel. + 358 50 453 2383
The condensed interim report has been prepared in accordance with International
Accounting Standard (IAS) 34, Interim Financial Reporting, as adopted by the
EU. The interim financials have not been audited.
Financial calendar in 2017
Fortum Corporation’s Financial Statements Bulletin for 2016 will be published
on 2 February 2017, at approximately 9.00 EET.
Fortum’s Financial Statements and Operating and Financial Review for 2016 will
be published during week 10 at the latest.
Fortum will publish three interim reports in 2017:
- January-March on 27 April 2017, at approximately 9.00 EEST
- January-June on 20 July 2017, at approximately 9.00 EEST
- January-September on 26 October 2017, at approximately 9.00 EEST
Fortum's Annual General Meeting is planned to take place on 4 April 2017 and
the possible dividend-related dates planned for 2017 are:
- The ex-dividend date 5 April 2017
- The record date for dividend payment 6 April 2017
- The dividend payment date 13 April 2017
Capital Markets Day in 2016:
Fortum's Capital Markets Day will take place on 16 November 2016 at Fortum HQ,
Keilaniementie 1 Espoo. The invitation is available at
www.fortum.com/investors.
Distribution:
Nasdaq Helsinki
Key media
www.fortum.com
More information, including detailed quarterly information, is available on
Fortum’s website at www.fortum.com/investors
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